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Behind the model

How the hotel model works

Every number in the model is worked out from your inputs; nothing is hidden. Below is each formula, paired with a worked example from the default 60-room midscale hotel at a ₹5,500 room rate (ADR). Change any input in the model and the same formulas apply.

Rooms, room rate and RevPAR

The number of rooms, the average room rate (ADR) and steady-state occupancy drive revenue. Revenue per available room (RevPAR) is the number hoteliers and banks watch most.

Rooms available / year

keys × 365

60 × 365 = 21,900

Rooms sold / year (steady state)

keys × 365 × steady-state occupancy

× 70% = 15,330

Room rate (ADR, average daily rate)

rate per sold room a night (your input)

₹5,500

Revenue per available room (RevPAR)

ADR × occupancy

₹5,500 × 70% = ₹3,850

Operating profit per available room (GOPPAR)

gross operating profit ÷ available rooms

₹2,674 / room-night

Set-up cost (CapEx)

Construction and furniture and equipment (FF&E) grow with the number of rooms; land (with stamp duty), pre-opening costs and approvals are added once; then a buffer for surprises (contingency) and interest during construction (IDC). Cost per room is worked out, never assumed. Enter building costs including GST: hotels can’t claim back GST on construction (section 17(5)).

Construction

keys × construction / key

60 × ₹45 L = ₹27 Cr

FF&E

keys × FF&E / key

60 × ₹8 L = ₹4.8 Cr

Stamp duty on land

land × 6% (only when land > 0; 5–7% by state)

₹8 Cr × 6% = ₹48 L

Base cost

land + stamp duty + construction + FF&E + pre-opening + line items

₹44.3 Cr

Buffer for surprises (contingency)

base × 8%

₹3.54 Cr

Interest during construction (IDC)

total × debt% × interest% × (months ÷ 12) × ½

24 mo → ₹2.51 Cr

Total project cost

base + contingency + IDC

₹50.3 Cr

Set-up cost per room (worked out)

total project cost ÷ keys

₹83.9 L / key

Running costs (OpEx), GOP and operator fees

Running costs are a share of revenue; that share moves only by the gap between cost rises and room rate rises (revenue already includes the room rate rise). Gross operating profit (GOP) is revenue minus running costs, before operator fees and maintenance: the standard hotel accounting basis (USALI) that Indian hotel management agreements use for the incentive fee.

Running costs

revenue × 55% × ((1 + 5%) ÷ (1 + 5%))^(yr−1)

once busy: ₹7.16 Cr a year

Gross operating profit (GOP)

revenue − running costs (before operator fees and maintenance)

once busy: ₹5.86 Cr a year (45% of revenue)

Operator base fee

revenue × 2% (Indian management agreements: 1–3%)

once busy: ₹26 L a year

Operator incentive fee

max(0, GOP) × 7% (Indian management agreements: 6–8% of GOP)

once busy: ₹41 L a year

Maintenance reserve

base set-up cost × 1% a year (roughly the usual 4%-of-revenue reserve)

₹52.7 L a year (with yearly rises)

Total running costs and fees

running costs + base fee + incentive fee + maintenance

once busy: ₹8.36 Cr a year

Revenue and the occupancy ramp

Room revenue is rooms sold × ADR; food, banquets and other revenue is a share of room revenue. A new hotel fills up in a straight line from opening to a steady level; in a phased opening each phase fills up on its own.

Room revenue

keys × occupancy × ADR × 365 × (1 + room rate rise)^(yr−1)

once busy: ₹9.3 Cr a year

Food, banquets and other revenue

room revenue × 40%

once busy: ₹3.72 Cr a year

Total revenue

room revenue + F&B revenue

once busy: ₹13 Cr a year

Occupancy ramp (straight line)

start + (steady − start) × (age − 1) ÷ (ramp years − 1)

50% → 70% over 3 years

Phased opening

each group of rooms opens in its own year and fills up from scratch

all at once by default

Loan, repayment holiday, tax and depreciation

A long hotel loan with an interest-only repayment holiday (moratorium) through construction and the first years of trading, then principal repayments; straight-line depreciation; tax with losses carried forward.

Loan and your money

loan = total cost × loan % ; your money = the rest

₹25.2 Cr loan · ₹25.2 Cr your money

Construction delays first revenue

lead years = ⌈ months ÷ 12 ⌉ − 1 (extra years before revenue)

24 months → 1 lead year(s)

Repayment holiday (moratorium)

interest only for the first N years from opening, then repay principal

2-year holiday, 14-year loan

Equal-principal repayment

loan ÷ (loan term − holiday) each repayment year

₹2.1 Cr

Fixed EMI option

loan × r ÷ (1 − (1+r)^−(loan term − holiday))

the same payment every year

Interest

outstanding balance × interest rate

year 1: ₹2.64 Cr (interest only in the holiday)

Depreciation (straight-line, without land)

(total cost − land − stamp duty) ÷ 20 years: land is never depreciated in India

₹2.09 Cr a year

Tax (with loss carryforward)

max(0, PBT − losses) × 25% ; losses carry forward

early losses reduce later tax

Returns, loan cover and the sale

The project cash flows (before any loan) give the project return; the cash flows to you give the return on your money. Project return leaves out the tax saving on loan interest, so the loan doesn’t change it. The hotel is sold at the end for its operating profit ÷ the exit yield (cap rate).

Operating profit (EBITDA)

revenue − running costs − operator fees − maintenance

once busy: ₹4.66 Cr (36% margin)

Project cash flow

EBITDA − project tax − set-up cost (project tax ignores interest)

project return (IRR) 10.3%

Cash to you (equity cash flow)

PAT + depreciation − principal − set-up cost paid from your money

return on your money 11.8%

Value above your hurdle (NPV)

Σ project cash flow ÷ (1 + minimum return)^t

at 11% = -₹3.56 Cr

Payback

the year total project cash flow so far first turns positive

12.2 years

Loan cover (DSCR)

CFADS ÷ loan repayment ; CFADS = EBITDA − tax (repayment years only)

min 1.23× · avg 1.49×

Loan-life cover (LLCR)

today’s value of CFADS over the loan’s life ÷ loan

1.40×

Money back per ₹1 (equity multiple)

Σ cash returned to you ÷ your money put in

4.94×

Sale value at the end (terminal value)

last year’s EBITDA ÷ exit yield (cap rate)

₹8.37 Cr ÷ 8% = ₹105 Cr

Capital gains tax on the sale

max(0, sale − net book value) × 12.5%: India’s 12.5% long-term capital gains tax on property (since 2024, no indexation); land keeps its full book value because it is never depreciated

₹10.7 Cr

Break-even occupancy

steady-state occupancy at which NPV = 0

75%

Energy, water and carbon

What the hotel uses and emits once it is busy, worked out per room sold.

Power

rooms sold × kWh per sold room

6,13,200 kWh a year

Water

rooms sold × litres per sold room ÷ 1000

9,198 kL a year

Carbon

energy × grid emission factor ÷ 1000

435 tonnes CO₂ a year

Carbon intensity

carbon ÷ rooms sold

28.4 kg per sold room

These are planning estimates you can check line by line, not a quote. The typical Indian figures are assumptions from public sources, not ClarWorks data, and every one can be changed in the model. Open the model →

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